Wednesday, July 04, 2007

A good transition from the troubles of Africa into China and the global economy is the influence of China on Sudan, specifically the case around oil supply lines.

While the stage will be better set to discuss China in the next blog post, clearly of critical importance to China is access to natural resources and in particular is oil, often placing China at odds with both US foreign policy and additionally UN foreign policy. It appears no where (other than Venezuela and Iran) does the confluence of arms dealing, oil, and local tensions come to a boiling point as much as it does in the Sudan.

Following is a quote from China Shakes the World

http://www.amazon.com/China-Shakes-World-James-Kynge/dp/0297852299/ref=pd_bbs_sr_3/102-0395680-9265728?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1183580269&sr=8-3

“Elsewhere, the issue is not that China may impinge on US supply lines, but that in its alacrity to shore up supplies, it is forging ties with countries that Washington has made a policy of isolating. Sudan is a case in point. In 1997, when the predominantly Muslim government in Khartoum was engaged in a gruesome war against Christian rebels in the south, Washington imposed a ban on US companies from doing business in the East African country. This gave the Chinese a clear run at tapping into its oil reserves. In the years since, Sudan has become China’s largest overseas oil project and China has turned into Sudan’s biggest supplier of arms. Chinese-made tanks, fighter planes, bombers, helicopters, machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades have added new impetus to the civil war between the north and south of the country which has already lasted for two decades. The money to buy those weapons, meanwhile, has come from oil revenues generated largely by the activities of the state-run China National Petroleum Corporation.

China National Petroleum owns 40 percent, the largest stake, of the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Co., a consortium that dominates Sudan’s oilfields. Another Chinese firm, Sinopec, is erecting a pipeline over hundreds of miles to Port Sudan on the Red Sea, where China’s Petroleum Engineering Construction Group is building a tanker terminal. The total investment runs into billions of US dollars and as production increases, Sudan has come to furnish China with 10 percent of its total oil imports. But the benefit derived from this has to be weighed against the cost to Beijing’s reputation. Not only has China become the chief supported of a government that has perpetrated repeated instances of genocide but, according to human rights groups and locals quoted by Peter Goodman, a reporter for the Washington Post, the construction of Chinese oil rigs has also led directly to the slaughter of Sudanese people.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A21143-2004Dec22.html

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2002131515_chinaoil27.html

http://www.globalpolicy.org/security/natres/oil/sudan/2002/0122arms.htm

Note: not only does this oil for arms appear trade appear to be with China but Russia also. In addition the wider results of Sudan’s policies are clearly identifiable in the larger region.

http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4352&l=1

http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=1230&l=1

http://web.amnesty.org/pages/sdn-background-eng

The US-funded Civilian protection Monitoring Team, a non-governmental organization, has asserted that government troops have sought to clear a cordon sanitaire around oil installations by moving out the mostly ethnic Nuer and Dinka tribes who lived there. On 26 February 2002, the Buer town of Nhialdiu was wiped out during one such operation to make way for a Chinese well that now functions in the nearby town of Leal. Mortar shells landed at dawn, followed by helicopter gunships directing fire at the huts where people lived. Antonov aeroplanes dropped bombs and roughtly 7,000 government troops with pro-government militieas then swept through the area with rifles and more than twenty tanks, according to Goodman’s report, which was based on numerous local sources. ‘The Chinese want to drill for oil, that is why we were pushed out,’ Goodman quoted a local, Rusthal Yackok, as saying. Yackok added that his wife and six children were killed in the operation. The chief of Leal, Tanguar Kuiyguong, who lost three of his ten children on that day, told Goodman that around 3,000 of the town’s 10,000 inhabitants died and every house was burned to the ground.

http://www.epwijnants-lectures.com/rpref.html

http://www.globalpolicy.org/security/issues/sudan/2005/0325pkprs.htm

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/africa/jan-june05/sudan_3-17.html

http://www.dpado.org/news.php?Begin_Date=2005-06-01&End_Date=2005-08-31

There is no evidence, however, that the Chinese government or its largest oil company had any advance notice of the Sudanese government’s scorched-earth strategy at Leal. Beijing also bruses off any suggestion that it is complicit in Sudan’s genocide. As Zhou Wenzhong, a Deputy Foreign Minister, said in 2004 ‘Business is business. We try to separate politics from business. I think the internal situation in Sudan is an internal affair, and we are not in a position to impose upon them.’ A few months later, though, Chinese diplomats successfully diluted the impact of a United Nations resolution condemning Khartoum, thereby undermining Washington’s efforts to threaten sanction against Sudan’s oil industry in protest at other waves of genocide against Sudan’s oil industry in protest at other waves of genocide in the Darfur region of the country. Having watered the resolution down, however, Wang Guangy, the ambassador to the United Nations denied that his actions had anything to do with a desire to protect Chinese state oil interests in the country.

++++

The lessons learned from this reinforces the point made in my previous blog about the effect of arms trade in the conflicts in Africa. While in east Africa it appears that blood diamonds are less of a currency, perhaps arms and oil are. Obviously layered on to of this conflict are religious hatreds as well.

But beyond this it call into consideration the ability of the UN and specifically the UN security council to make objective decisions about the use of peacekeeping forces and/or PMC’s in these conflict when (as pointed out in Lord of War) a number of the permanent security counsel seats are occupied by parties who have very divergent strategic objectives in the region and at least some (China and Russia) seem clearly willing to turn a blind eye to atrocities in order to look after their own security concerns.

It is my personal opinion that in a world where nationalistic greed (strategic importance) out weighs the value of peace and human life / suffering the current administration’s tactics are probably worthless. If Iran, Venezuela, and Sudan are fully prepared to sell oil to China (which is obvious the more powerful point is that China is prepared to purchase it), it seems that sanctions are borderline pointless. I have long been dubious of sanctions as an effective tool unless there is unilateral agreement (North Korea as an example) to support them. It seems the more important things are:

  1. Trying to inject just influence over the populace (hard to do when you are cut off from them)
  2. Culture can actually be a weapon (a dubious one admittedly, but I always joked that Japan should have given Kim Jong’ II son a tour of Disneyland in Tokyo rather than kicking him out.
  3. Providing western companies access to the oil in these nations rather than simply giving over these oil fields to the Chinese doesn’t seem like a strategic win.
  4. For the populace of the country the current stalemate is a disaster as (a) the economics of arms flow is benefiting the side that is actually causing the genocide and (b) there is no resolution in sight and the UN is crippled in doing anything to help innocent bystanders. (Put another way – the people on the receiving end of this genocide are receiving NO help from useless sanctions that make them poor and provide guns funded by oil that is going to China to be used against them).
  5. Well armed forces in this war would be much harder for PMC’s fight against.

 

07/04/2007 2:37:41 PM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
Related Posts:
Cook: Objectivity
Cook: China Shakes The World – Part Nine: Education
Cook: China Shakes The World – Part Eight: Environmental Impact
Cook: China Shakes The World – Part Seven: Local Economic Impact
Cook: China Shakes The World – Part Six: Distributed Labor (Human Capital)
Cook: China Shakes The World – Part Five: The Commoditization of Manufacturing

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